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Software tools for species risk assessment, conservation planning, and population management


Epidemiological model of infectious disease

Outbreak simulates disease dynamics under an individually base model of transitions among susceptible, exposed, infectious and recovered individuals. Outbreak provides several options for modes of transmission (random contact within populations, spatially based transmission, contact with environmental sources of disease) and provides options for management through vaccination or culling. The current version 2 of Outbreak was written by Robert Lacy, based on Outbreak version 1 designed by JP Pollak, PS Miller, RC Lacy, L Hungerford, and P Bright.


Citation: SEIR3.jpg SprayToad2.jpg

Lacy, R.C., J.P. Pollak, P.S. Miller, L. Hungerford, and P. Bright. 2014. Outbreak version 2.1. IUCN SSC Conservation Breeding Specialist Group. Apple Valley, MN, USA.


Creative Commons License
Outbreak is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.




Note: If the msi installation file does not work for you, try downloading the zip file, extracting the two files, and then running setup.exe.



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Go to Outbreak Publications site built by Robert Lacy and JoAnna Kelly

Copyright 2016 Chicago Zoological Society / IUCN/SSC Conservation Breeding Specialist Group